ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE DETERMINANTS OF EXCHANGE RATE IN NIGERIA
Abstract
This research study investigates the determinants of exchange rate in Nigeria and to
establish the position of balance of payments and Gross Domestic Product from year
1990 to 2020. Though the fundamental problems to exchange rate and its
determinants still persist. The study therefore seeks primarily to analyze the
determinants of foreign exchange by employing the ordinary least square method of
estimation with the help of statistic package for social science (SPSS) version 17 with
special references to the influence of inflation rate, money supply, balance. Of
payment and Gross Domestic Product. From the analyses, the results show the
degree of variation among the variables. The co-efficient of determination was 0.673,
which is 67.3 percent variation in exchange rate is accounted- for by the independent
variables. Overall, the findings confirmed the hypotheses which states that high
productivity differentials (GDP) leads-to exchange rate appreciation and inflation,
money supply and balance of payments have impact on exchange rate. Thus, we
propose policies that would preserve the international value of the domestic currency,
maintain a favourable external reserves position and the overall goal of
macroeconomic stability.
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