RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MONETARY POLICY AND PUBLIC DEBT IN NIGERIA (1990-2023)
Abstract
played a role, directly or indirectly, in its completion.
Abstract
This study examined the impact of monetary policy on public debt in Nigeria. Specifically, the
study aimed to; analyze the trends of money supply and public debt from the period 1980-2022,
examine the short-run relationship between monetary policy and public debt, investigate the long
run influence of monetary policy on public debt and assess the determinants of public debt in
Nigeria, to achieve the objectives, an ex-post facto research design was adopted to gather time
series data for the study from the period 1980-2022. The Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)
Model was employed to investigate the objectives apart from the trend analysis used to achieve the
objective one of the studies. In using the ARDL, it was necessary for the researcher to confirm the
existence of long-run relationship between monetary policy and public debt through ARDL Bound
test. The result of the ARDL Bound test revealed that there was a significant long-run relationship
between monetary policy and public debt in Nigeria. More so, it was discovered that there was a
significant negative short-run relationship between monetary policy and public debt in a Nigeria.
The study finding further confirmed that monetary policy influenced public debt negatively in the
long-run. The study concluded that a robust monetary policy might reduce the incidence of public
debt in Nigeria. It was recommended that effective monetary policy must be put place by the
monetary authority in Nigeria in order to reduce public debt.
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