STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF NITROPHOSPHATE AND POTASSIUM LEVEL ON THE YIELD OF ONION (ALLIUM CEPA)

Student: Ayomide Joses Olowo
Supervisor: Prof Ayotunde Akomolafe Akomolafe
HOD: Prof O A Adeoti
Department of Statistics
Physical Sciences
Federal University of Technology Akure, Ondo State

Abstract

This study investigated the effects of varying application rates of Nitrogen (N), Phosphorus (P), and Potassium (K) fertilizers on crop yield using a factorial experimental design and Response Surface Methodology (RSM). The experiment consisted of 54 observations, with each nutrient applied at three levels: Nitrogen (50, 100, 150 kg/ha), Phosphorus (40, 80, 120 kg/ha), and Potassium (30, 60, 90 kg/ha). Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), Tukey post hoc tests, and regression-based RSM modelling. Descriptive analysis revealed a general trend of yield improvement with increasing nutrient levels, particularly for Nitrogen and Phosphorus. However, quadratic terms for both nutrients were negative and significant, indicating diminishing returns at very high application levels. Potassium showed a positive but statistically insignificant quadratic effect, suggesting a more linear relationship with yield. The ANOVA results confirmed that all main effects (N, P, and K) were statistically significant (p < 0.001), with Nitrogen having the strongest influence, followed by Phosphorus and Potassium. The interaction between Nitrogen and Phosphorus was significant, demonstrating a synergistic effect, whereas interactions involving Potassium were generally insignificant. Tukey post hoc comparisons further highlighted significant differences in yield between all nutrient levels, with the largest gains occurring between the lowest and highest application rates. The RSM model achieved an R² of 0.994 and Adjusted R² of 0.993, indicating an excellent fit. Model adequacy tests confirmed the assumptions of normality and independence of residuals. The regression equation and surface plots identified optimal nutrient combinations for maximum yield, vi emphasizing the importance of balanced fertilization strategies. This study concludes that strategic, optimized application of N, P, and K particularly Nitrogen and Phosphorus in combination—can significantly enhance crop productivity. The findings demonstrate the value of RSM as a decision support tool for agricultural nutrient management and provide actionable recommendations for farmers and extension services.

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