UNDERSTANDING THE COMPLEXITY OF COINFECTION: A MATHEMATICAL MODELING APPROACH TO MALARIA AND TUBERCULOSIS DYNAMICS
Abstract
Two of the most important infectious illnesses affecting public health worldwide are still malaria
and tuberculosis (TB), especially in low- and middle-income nations where they frequently
coexist. Their epidemiological overlap, common socioeconomic drivers, and possible immunological
interactions make them a complex public health burden even though they have different etiological
agents—Mycobacterium tuberculosis for TB and Plasmodium parasites for malaria. This study
presents the derivation and analysis of the SH,IM,IT ,IMT ,RH model for malaria-tuberculosis (TB)
coinfection disease. We investigate the biological well-posedness of the formulated mathematical
model by proving essential properties, including invariant regions and positivity of solutions for both
malaria and TB sub-models. The reproduction numbers are computed separately for each sub-model,
providing valuable insights into disease mitigation and persistence. Our comprehensive analysis and
control strategies reveal that the disease-free equilibrium points for both sub-models are locally and
globally stable if the respective reproduction numbers are less than unity. Furthermore, the endemic
equilibrium points for each sub-model are globally stable if their respective basic reproduction
numbers exceed unity. Additionally, we examine the analytical behavior of the full coinfection model
by deriving equilibrium points and investigating their stability conditions. Our findings offer crucial
insights into the dynamics of malaria-TB coinfection and inform potential control strategies.
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